Analyst: Heavy-duty truck demand is low, OEMs cutting production

Fleets are still struggling, and OEMs are cutting production this year. An analyst with ACT Research breaks down the state of heavy-duty demand.
Oct. 2, 2025

Weak freight demand and a struggling for-hire carrier market have both lasted for years. New trade and regulatory uncertainties further complicated the trucking environment.

Truck buyers are in a dark place—what does it mean for truck makers?

In this video interview, Carter Vieth, a research analyst with ACT Research, breaks down the current heavy-duty market.

The downward pressure on Class 8 truck demand has pushed OEMs to cut production. OEMs are reducing tractor production 25% in Q3 this year. Despite the shrink in operations, ACT Research still forecasts overall Class 8 production to be slightly above replacement demand this year.

About the Author

Jeremy Wolfe

Editor

Editor Jeremy Wolfe joined the FleetOwner team in February 2024. He graduated from the University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point with majors in English and Philosophy. He previously served as Editor for Endeavor Business Media's Water Group publications.

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