Macro environment continues to weigh on public LTL carriers' numbers

Quarter to date, ArcBest’s shipments growth stands out, and executives are raising prices on some accounts and lanes to help offset higher costs from recent wins.
Sept. 11, 2025
3 min read

Key takeaways

  • LTL carriers report lower tons and shipments per day due to weakness in the manufacturing and housing sectors.
  • ArcBest shows growth by adding accounts and raising prices, offsetting some market softness.
  • Though volumes are weakening, Old Dominion noted that revenue per hundredweight improvements is improving.

A sluggish economy, particularly in the key manufacturing and housing sectors, has resulted in several publicly traded less-than-truckload carriers reporting negative numbers for the first two months of the third quarter.

Old Dominion Freight Line, XPO, and Saia—the Nos. 10, 13, and 19 on the 2025 FleetOwner 500 list of the largest for-hire carriers—saw their August tons per day fall an average of 5.4% from the same month in 2024. Of the three companies, Old Dominion stood out on the downside with a tons-per-day drop of more than 9%, while the team at Saia limited the year-over-year drop to 2.2%. The companies’ shipments per day showed a similar trend, but Marty Freeman, Old Dominion president and CEO, pointed to better pricing as an encouraging sign.

“While our volumes declined on a year-over-year basis, the improvement in our revenue per hundredweight demonstrates the value that our customers realize from our consistent commitment to superior service,” Freeman said in a statement. “We have the capacity to handle incremental volumes when the demand environment improves. As a result, we remain confident that we are the best-positioned carrier to win profitable market share over the long term.”

The LTL outlier so far in Q3: ArcBest, which in the second quarter added more than 100 accounts and has seen those wins translate into solid growth since. Shipments per day at the No. 24 carrier on the FleetOwner 500 rose 5% in August and are up 4% quarter to date, while tons per day were up 2% for both time periods.

“The company remains focused on onboarding new business while maintaining consistent reliability,” executives said in their mid-quarter update. “Furthermore, a recent pricing review identified account- and lane-level adjustments to enhance profitability, which are being implemented and are expected to strengthen overall LTL pricing going forward.”

Those price increases, executives said, are being pushed through to help absorb higher expenses from ramping up those recent wins, including by using more third parties. ArcBest’s operating ratio this quarter will slip from the spring, they added, because the company’s weight per shipment is coming in lower than expected.

Old Dominion (-1.2%) and XPO (-1.3%) also have seen their weights per shipment slip this quarter, which points to weakness in manufacturing activity. (By comparison, Saia’s August weight per shipment ticked up 0.1% from the year before.) Most analysts aren’t expecting that dynamic to change soon, citing ongoing policy uncertainty that is limiting major investments but not quite squashing demand. The result, industry economist Jim Meil recently said, is a flat market that might be the “new normal” for a while longer.

About the Author

Geert De Lombaerde

Senior Editor

A native of Belgium, Geert De Lombaerde has more than two decades of experience in business journalism. Since 2021, he has written about markets and economic trends for Endeavor Business Media publications FleetOwner, Healthcare Innovation, IndustryWeek, Oil & Gas Journal, and T&D World. 

With a degree in journalism from the University of Missouri, he began his reporting career at the Business Courier in Cincinnati. He later was managing editor and editor of the Nashville Business Journal. Most recently, he oversaw the online and print products of the Nashville Post and reported primarily on Middle Tennessee’s finance sector and many of its publicly traded companies.

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