The Paccar team is forecasting that Class 8 sales in the U.S. and Canada—where Kenworth and Peterbilt claim a 30% market share—will range between 230,000 and 270,000 trucks this year. The high end of that range is about 15% above 2025’s level of 233,000 units.
Underpinning that expected growth, Feight said greater clarity about the Environmental Protection Agency’s 35-milligram nitrogen oxide emissions limit, as well as the Trump administration's Section 232 truck tariffs rolled out on November 1, are bringing more customers to Paccar. If signs of a proper rebound in truckload demand and carrier profitability turn into reality, Paccar—which has in recent months shifted its factories to produce multiple lines for their local markets—stands to benefit even more in 2026.
Executives are looking for Paccar’s capital spending this year to be very much in line with 2025’s numbers: Capital projects are in line to get $725 million to $775 million, versus $728 million last year, and research and development projects are forecast to receive between $450 million and $500 million compared to $446 million in 2025.
Shares of Paccar (Ticker: PCAR) fell about 1% to $120.81 after executives’ report and conference call. They’re still up nearly 20% over the past six months, a rise that has lifted the company’s market capitalization to about $63 billion.
