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ATA Freight Forecast projects continued long-term growth

Sept. 29, 2020
The American Trucking Associations predicts that freight volumes will grow 36% over the next 11 years.

The American Trucking Associations released its latest ATA Freight Transportation Forecast: 2020 to 2031, which is conducted annually by IHS Markit, showing that despite contraction in 2020, the long-term trend for both trucking and overall freight shipments is still positive.

"The COVID-19 pandemic has had an unprecedented impact on many parts of the economy and trucking is no exception," said ATA Chief Economist Bob Costello. "However, despite significant contractions in 2020, the forecast makes it clear that the long-term trend for trucking, as well as for the overall freight economy is positive."

Among the findings in this year's forecast include:

  • Total freight volumes in 2020 are likely to collapse by 10.6% to 14.6 billion tons, although truck freight volumes falls a smaller 8.8%.
  • Trucking volumes are expected to rebound in 2021, rising 4.9% next year and then growing 3.2% per year on average through 2026.
  • Overall freight revenues in 2020 will total $879 billion, rising to $1.435 trillion in 2031.

"Freight Forecast provides a roadmap for where our industry, as well as all modes of freight transportation, are going – which is why you can find it on the desks of industry executives and policymakers around the world," Costello said.

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