ACT Research
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ACT's industry forecast rises following heightening economic expectations

Aug. 15, 2023
An improving economy is expected to boost vehicle and trailer sales through 2025, according to the industry researcher.

A new forecast by ACT Research shows output for Classes 5-7, Class 8, and trailers in 2023 and 2024 moving upward again this month. An increase in economic growth in 2023 should boost demand for Class 8 vehicles in 2024, putting the industry in a better position for even stronger demand into 2025, the research group stated in a release.

“With the economy gathering momentum into the second half of 2023, and with supporting backlogs in place, the risk to build rates into year end is now essentially in the rearview," according to Kenny Vieth, president and senior analyst of ACT. "While the 2024 forecasts have risen, they continue to anticipate slowing into next year, as pent-up demand for the Class 8 and trailer markets will be largely consumed by the end of this year amid strong fleet growth in the weak 2023 freight demand environment."

Vieth concluded,An improving economic outlook is not a panacea to cure the freight industry’s sloshy capacity situation. A less-bad freight market in 2023 and rising 2024 economic expectations are at least helping to boost one side of the supply-demand imbalance with which truck and trailer buyers are currently wrestling. Adding even more new trucks into an already overcapacitized market risks keeping capacity looser for longer.”

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